Machine Learning for Time Series: Use Python to forecast, predict, and detect anomalies with state-of-the-art machine learning methods, 2nd Edition

Get better insights from time-series data and become proficient in building models with real-world data Key FeaturesExplore popular and state-of-the-art machine learning methods, including the latest online and deep learning algorithmsLearn to increase the accuracy of your predictions by matching the right model to your problemMaster time series in Python via real-world case studies on operations management, digital marketing, finance, and healthcareBook DescriptionThe Python time-series ecosystem is a huge and challenging topic to tackle, especially for time series since there are so many new libraries and models. Machine Learning for Time Series, Second Edition, aims to deepen your understanding of time series by providing a comprehensive overview of popular Python time-series packages and helping you build better predictive systems.This fully updated second edition starts by re-introducing the basics of time series and then helps you get to grips with traditional autoregressive models as well as modern non-parametric models. By observing practical examples and the theory behind them, you will gain a deeper understanding of loading time-series datasets from any source and a variety of models, such as deep learning recurrent neural networks, causal convolutional network models, and gradient boosting with feature engineering. This book will also help you choose the right model for the right problem by explaining the theory behind several useful models. New updates include a chapter on forecasting and extracting signals on financial markets and case studies with relevant examples from operations management, digital marketing, and healthcare.By the end of this book, you should feel at home with effectively analyzing and applying machine learning methods to time series.What you will learnVisualize time series data with easeCharacterize seasonal and correlation patterns through autocorrelation and statistical techniquesGet to grips with classical time series models such as ARMA, ARIMA, and moreUnderstand modern time series methods including the latest deep learning and gradient boosting methodsChoose the right method to solve time-series problemsBecome familiar with libraries such as Prophet, sktime, statsmodels, XGBoost, and TensorFlowUnderstand both the advantages and disadvantages of common modelsEvaluate high-performance forecasting solutionsWho This Book Is ForThis book is ideal for data analysts, data scientists, and Python developers who want instantly useful and practical recipes to implement today, and a comprehensive reference book for tomorrow. Basic knowledge of the Python Programming language is a must, while familiarity with statistics will help you get the most out of this book.Table of ContentsIntroductionDealing with Time Series in PythonTime Series AnalysisForecasting with moving averages and autoregressive modelsMachine Learning for Time SeriesUnsupervised machine learningDrift and adaptive modelsReinforcement learningEvent time predictionProbabilistic models and confidenceDeep LearningMultivariate forecasting